Psychodynamic formulation : Supply _ Demand_ Collective Memory

Formalisation psychodynamique_Offre_Demande_Mémoire_Dow.pdf

Télécharger PDF • 988KB

Psychodynamic formalization_Supply_Demand_Memory_Dow.pdf

Télécharger PDF • 988KB

The Universal Model of Crowd and Market Dynamics extends Dow Theory by integrating collective psychology, mimetic memory, and supply-demand imbalances within a predictive mathematical framework.

It is based on a fundamental formula:

P(t) = A ψ(S, R, V, M, D, C) × [O(t) ↔ D(t)],

formalizing the interactions between psychological thresholds, emotional volume (V via RSI), and the narrative modulator ψ.

The internal variables (V(t), ∥D(t), M, ψ(t)) ensure causality and timing, with D_cond / D_act distinguishing between latent tensions and activations.

CBD phases emerge as behavioral regimes via:

Phase(t) = G(V(t), ∥D(t)∥, M, ψ),

applied to markets, crowds, political dynamics, and economies.

This framework unifies collective behaviors through simple laws (memory, emotion, thresholds, incapacity), making Dow Theory measurable and generalizable.